梅雨季來了!鋒面襲台時間曝 有望「劇 - 股票

By Xanthe
at 2021-05-19T20:34
at 2021-05-19T20:34
Table of Contents
原文標題:
梅雨季來了!鋒面襲台時間曝 有望「劇烈降雨」解渴
原文連結:
https://news.tvbs.com.tw/life/1512162
發佈時間:2021/05/19 09:10
最後更新時間:2021/05/19 09:10
原文內容:編輯 周嘉茹 報導
梅雨季要來了!氣象專家吳德榮透過歐洲模式模擬,下週二晚至下週三(25、26日),可望
出現梅雨滯留鋒在台灣附近,有機會降下明顯雨勢,到了下週四(27日)滯留鋒減弱,但下
週五(28日)再度增強,大氣型態似乎有轉成典型「梅雨滯留鋒」的跡象,可期替台灣解渴
。
吳德榮表示,根據最新歐洲模式模擬,下週三左右將有一波典型梅雨滯留鋒出現在台灣附近
,推估屆時雨量會相當多,週三後2至3天鋒面皆在台灣附近,推估大概在26日過後便會出現
相關形態,替台灣水情解渴「沒有什麼問題」,不過能否紓旱,則需視調整後大氣型態能持
續多久。
不過吳德榮再說,下週鋒面狀況仍需觀察,因為美國模式同時間的模擬顯示,位於南海的熱
帶擾動太強,使得台灣附近鋒面結構弱,水氣極少,但依照過去結果,歐洲模式通常較美國
模式準確,但無法保證是否正確,因此屆時的梅雨鋒面不確定性仍高,但「看起來滿有希望
」,將持續觀察。
對此中央氣象局預報員陳伊秀接受《TVBS新聞網》採訪,針對吳德榮的預測表示認同,不過
由於是一週後的天氣,因此仍需持續觀測,整體不穩定性高,不過今年預測梅雨季時間約落
在5月底至6月上旬,因此目前根據歐洲模式與先前預報相對符合,依照大環境而訂,可期待
梅雨鋒面襲台。
心得/評論:
歐洲模式和美國模式不同
那有沒有亞洲模式的模擬啊?
--
Tags:
股票
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